Humana told investors on July 29 that it will exit Medicare Advantage plans covering roughly 600,000 members heading into the 2027 plan year, and the company says the cuts fall disproportionately on its own lowest-rated coverage. Nobody enrolled in one of the affected plans is getting a phone call about it. The notice arrives as a letter sometime this fall, timed ahead of Medicare’s annual enrollment window. Losing a specific plan does not mean losing Medicare — but it can mean losing the premium, drug list, or doctor network a retiree built a year’s budget around.
Why the cuts are landing hardest on Humana’s lowest-rated plans
Humana Chief Financial Officer Celeste Mellet told analysts on the company’s second-quarter earnings call that the insurer is cutting what she called “the lower tail of profitability and return,” prioritizing plans with heavier value-based care participation over across-the-board benefit trims. The majority of the 2027 exits involve plans rated 3.5 stars or lower for the coming bonus year, even though Mellet said star ratings were not the primary driver of the decision. Twenty percent of Humana’s members are currently in plans rated 4 stars or higher for 2026, meaning the company is choosing to protect its stronger performers while thinning out the rest of its book. For a member holding one of the affected policies, the practical result is the same regardless of the internal rationale: the plan will not be offered again in 2027.
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The same letter went out in 2025 — and 40% came back
This is not Humana’s first round of retrenchment. The insurer shed roughly 500,000 members in 2025 while exiting unprofitable plans and counties, narrowing its 2026 footprint to 46 states and 85% of U.S. counties, down from 89% the year before, according to reporting on the industry-wide pullback. Of the members displaced in that round, Humana recaptured just over 40% into other plans it still offers. Mellet told investors the company expects to recapture “a significant portion” of the 600,000 members affected in 2027 the same way — meaning a household that loses its current plan may find Humana steering it toward a different Humana product rather than losing the insurer altogether. That still leaves several hundred thousand people who will need to actively choose a new carrier.
What actually changes when a plan is discontinued
Medicare Advantage is not Medicare itself — it is a private substitute for it, sold under contract with the federal government. When Humana ends a specific plan, the underlying Medicare entitlement continues uninterrupted, but everything the plan added on top of it does not: the monthly premium, the deductible, the drug formulary, the provider network, and any extra dental, vision, or over-the-counter allowance all end with the contract. According to Medicare’s own rules on plan non-renewals, a member who does not actively pick a replacement before the old plan’s contract ends is automatically dropped into Original Medicare — without prescription drug coverage — rather than being reassigned to a comparable Advantage plan. That default outcome is what makes ignoring the letter the costliest option on the table.
The bid math behind the industry-wide squeeze
Humana’s retreat did not happen in isolation. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services finalized a 2.48% average Medicare Advantage rate increase for 2027, a figure more than 100 industry and provider groups had argued was too low to keep plans from bleeding money further. Bruce Japsen, reporting for Forbes, described Humana’s move as “the first major sign” that other national carriers are likely to announce their own 2027 pullbacks in the coming weeks, as rising medical costs continue to outpace what the government pays insurers to cover seniors. Humana itself posted $40.9 billion in second-quarter revenue, up 26% year over year, yet lowered its own full-year profit guidance because declining star ratings are cutting into the bonus payments that fund richer benefits.
Where the letter fits the enrollment calendar
Millions of Medicare Advantage members, including anyone whose Humana plan is being discontinued, will not see the specifics of what replaces it until insurers unveil their 2027 offerings this fall. From there, Medicare’s Annual Enrollment Period — October 15 through December 7 — is when a new plan can actually be selected, with coverage taking effect January 1. A member who waits for a phone call instead of watching the mail risks missing that window entirely, since a letter, not a courtesy call, is how Humana is delivering the news.
This article was researched and drafted with the assistance of AI and reviewed by The Financial Wire editorial team.
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