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Inflation holds at 2.4% even after U.S. tariff rate climbed to about 13%, but economists say the full impact may still be ahead

The average effective U.S. tariff rate has surged since early 2025, yet the broad inflation picture has remained relatively subdued. Consumer prices rose 2.4% over the 12 months ending in January 2026, according to the latest federal data, down from 2.7% in December. That has created an unusual split in the economic debate. One camp…

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