a group of people shopping in a store with a box of donuts

Real wages have fallen every month of 2026 — paychecks rose 3.6% while the Iran war pushed inflation to 3.8% and wholesale prices to 6%

Meet Carla, a composite but representative worker: a medical billing clerk in suburban Ohio earning $19.50 an hour, up from $18.80 a year ago. Her 3.7% raise looked solid on paper until gasoline crossed $4.00 a gallon in February and never came back down. By April she was spending $68 more a month on fuel…

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Hand holding credit card on wood table

Credit card delinquencies are stuck at a 15-year high of 13.1% — and subprime borrowers under 30 are driving almost the entire increase

A 24-year-old carrying a $3,000 credit card balance at 28% APR watches roughly $70 in interest pile up every month. Minimum payments alone would stretch repayment past a decade and more than double the total cost. Miss a few payments entirely, and penalty rates, late fees, and credit-score damage follow, raising the price of car…

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A pair of hands comparing prices on a receipt and a shopping list

Prediction markets now put stagflation odds at 40%, up from 11% three months ago — after inflation hit 3.8% and wholesale prices surged 6%

A gallon of regular gasoline costs more than it did a month ago. So does a carton of eggs, a visit to the doctor, and the rent check. For months, Americans absorbed those increases with a shrug and a functioning job market. That cushion is thinning. In the span of a single week in May…

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Wall Street

The 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5.2%, a 19-year high — and every new mortgage, car loan, and credit card rate locks in higher from here

On the morning of May 19, 2026, the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield crossed 5.2 percent, a threshold the bond market had not touched since late 2007. By the close of the week, it was still there. For the millions of Americans about to sign a mortgage, finance a vehicle, or carry a credit card balance…

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Building of FED Federal Reserve Bank in Washington Concept of economy finance interest rate money

The Fed’s April minutes drop today — and the four dissents reveal a committee too split to deliver the rate cut that would lower your 6.58% mortgage

Four Federal Reserve officials broke ranks at the April 29-30 meeting, dissenting from the committee’s decision to hold interest rates steady and exposing the deepest split on the Federal Open Market Committee in recent memory. The minutes released May 28, 2026, lay out the fault lines: some policymakers pushed to begin cutting rates immediately, arguing…

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a large boat floating on top of a body of water

U.S. forces disabled two Iranian tankers Friday and Iran seized one in the Gulf of Oman — but Trump still insists the ceasefire “is holding”

Three ships were hit or seized in the world’s most important oil corridor on a single day, and the president said the truce was fine. On Friday, May 8, 2026, U.S. forces fired on and disabled two Iranian-flagged tankers near the Strait of Hormuz. Hours later, Iran’s navy boarded and seized a separate vessel, the…

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Thoughtful woman using laptop and writing notes to notebook at home while sitting on couch, copy space

The personal savings rate held at 3.6% in March, the lowest since 2008 — and the Iran war has driven real wages negative every month this year

For every $100 of after-tax income the average American household earned in March, just $3.60 went into savings. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the personal savings rate held at 3.6% that month, with total personal saving at $857.3 billion. According to the agency’s historical tables, the rate has not been this low since…

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Ferrari Testarossa (in front of an early Honda Prelude) at the Houston Coffee and Cars meet in January 2012

Used car prices rose 1.5% in April, the sharpest monthly climb since 2022 — as buyers frozen out by 7-year new-car loans trade down to used

Used cars and trucks jumped 1.5 percent in price during April, the steepest single-month increase the category has posted since at least mid-2022, according to Consumer Price Index figures the Bureau of Labor Statistics published in May 2026. In an inflation report that was otherwise quiet, the used-vehicle line stood out, and it arrived at…

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Oil rig created with Generative AI technology

Brent crude just closed at $108 a barrel for the fifth straight day — the longest streak above $105 since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine

For five straight trading sessions through Friday, Brent crude settled above $108 a barrel, landing in a narrow band between $107.80 and $108.45, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s daily spot price series. Scroll back through that same government dataset and you won’t find another stretch of closes above $105 between the spring of…

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Spirit Airlines Check In, 10000 West O'Hare Ave, Chicago, IL 60666, USA - Jun 2014

TSA will screen a record 2.8 million air travelers this Memorial Day Sunday — even with airfares 24% above 2025 and Spirit Airlines permanently off the map

Somewhere around 2.8 million people will take off their shoes, empty their pockets, and shuffle through a TSA checkpoint this Memorial Day Sunday. If that number holds, it will be the highest single-day screening total for any Memorial Day weekend in the agency’s history, according to projections posted on TSA’s checkpoint volume tracker. They will…

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